Top Castle Rock real estate team shares its Q4 outlook for inventory, pricing, and buyer demand—drawing on housing data trends and on-the-ground insights from The Thayer Group.

CASTLE ROCK, Colo., Oct. 14, 2025 /PRNewswire-PRWeb/ -- The Thayer Group, a leading Castle Rock real estate team, released commentary on the Fall 2025 market in Castle Rock, forecasting a steady but competitive fourth quarter as months of supply trends down and motivated buyers re-enter the market. Drawing on REcolorado® MLS data from 2025 and daily activity across Douglas County, the team expects pricing to remain resilient while well-prepared listings capture outsized attention.

"Based on what we saw through Q3, Castle Rock remains one of the Denver metro's healthiest submarkets," said Steve Thayer, Managing Broker/Owner, The Thayer Group. "Sellers who price strategically and present beautifully are still winning in the first two weeks on market, while buyers are benefiting from a little more choice than they had last spring."

Q4 Expectations for Castle Rock

• Inventory: Months of supply trending down vs. Q3, signaling tightening conditions without tipping into oversupply
• Pricing: Median sale price holding around $670,000 with premium results for updated, move-in-ready homes.
• Days on Market: Well-priced homes continue to secure offers within 40 to 50 days; over-priced homes see extended timelines.
• Buyer Demand: Relocation and move-up segments remain active; rate-sensitive buyers emphasize payment over price.

Market Snapshot (Castle Rock; all residential properties; September 2025)

• New Listings: 217 (+5.3% YoY)
• Active Inventory: 599 (+14.3% YoY)
• Pending Sales: 141 (-6.0% YoY)
• Close-to-List Price Ratio: 98.8% (-1.2% YoY)
• Average Price per Sq. Ft.: $253/sqft (-2.3% YoY)
• Months Supply of Inventory: 4.0 months (+8.1% YoY)
• Average Time on Market: 55 days (+25.0% YoY)

Guidance for Sellers

• Nail fundamentals: price to the market, stage professionally, and launch with strong media.
• Prioritize pre-list prep: repairs, curb appeal, and a standout first week on market.
• Use data: align with neighborhood-level comps and current absorption rates.

Guidance for Buyers

• Get fully underwritten and lock rates early when possible.
• Target homes that need light cosmetic updates to find value.
• Move quickly on A-grade listings; negotiate confidently on longer-sitting homes.

Homeowners and buyers can learn more about the local real estate market from The Thayer Group and schedule a strategy session at thethayergroup.com/contact. For active listings and neighborhood insights, explore thethayergroup.com/neighborhood/157201518/castlerock or call 720-663-1224.

About The Thayer Group | Colorado's Premier Real Estate Team

The Thayer Group is a Castle Rock–based, family-owned and operated real estate team serving Douglas County and the greater Denver Metro Area. Known for data-driven guidance, concierge-level listing prep, and negotiation expertise, the team helps clients buy and sell with confidence across price points—from first-time homes to luxury estates. Recognized as the best realtors in Castle Rock, The Thayer Group has over 30 years of local experience and expertise, with 540+ completed transactions totalling more than $350M+ worth of real estate sales, ranking in the top 1% of real estate brokers internationally. Learn more at thethayergroup.com.

Source: All data from REcolorado®. REcolorado® is a registered trademark of REcolorado © 2021 REcolorado. All rights reserved. InfoSparks © 2025 ShowingTime Plus, LLC. Analysis by The Thayer Group. Market conditions may vary by neighborhood and property type.

Media Contact

Cooper Thayer, The Thayer Group, 1 7206631224, thayergroup@kw.com, https://www.thethayergroup.com/

View original content:https://www.prweb.com/releases/the-thayer-group-forecasts-castle-rocks-fall-2025-real-estate-momentum-302581843.html

SOURCE The Thayer Group